Monday, September 29, 2025

Humberto and Imelda Part Two

 

Normally if we see this picture above in Florida, we are emptying the stores of milk, bread, produce, meat, water, beer/wine/liquor, etc.  So this is the picture on NOAA's site and there is no talk, no panic, no nothing around here.  As I mentioned in my last post 2 days ago, the forecast was/is for it all to turn out into the Atlantic and go away.


Above is Imelda, now a Tropical storm, but soon to be a Hurricane.  You can see the right hand turn that it is going to take, according to all predictions.  In my last post, the right hand turn was going to take place much closer to the South Carolina Coast...but now it turns tomorrow, just about the same Latitude that Orlando has.  (Latitude is "east to west" while Longitude is "north to south").  


Good news, very little affect on Florida other than some rain and higher waves on the Atlantic Coast.  Above is a radar view as of 6:30 Monday Night.  Damage from Imelda to the Bahamas included flooding, power outages, and coastal storm surges, particularly affecting the northwestern and central islands.

Above is the forecast for Humberto.  It looks as "IF" Imelda and Humberto might link together as they head out to the Atlantic, but this is just a "Hopeful Scenario" on part of some Meteorologist.  Speaking of which...

Do any of you ever have the impression that some of the Weather Reporters find some sort of "Glee" when they talk about Hurricanes, Tornadoes, Snow Storms that drop more than 6" on a large metropolitan city except for Denver or Salt Lake City (and a few others) where these snow storms are common???  Last night Marcia and I watched FOX Weather Channel for about 30 minutes to hear about the latest dealing with the Weather.  We had heard about flooding in Arizona, and wondered where it was.  Nearly ALL of the 30 minutes that we watched was reporting on Humberto and Imelda.  We did not even hear about the Arizona flooding, which took place in communities of Globe and Miami in Gila County.  What we did hear was the reporter talking with "Glee" about these two storms, how much they were going to grow, how much "danger" there will be along the coast of Florida and perhaps the Carolinas, and how it looked like the two storms "might" combine into one horrific storm, yet the future models he showed had no indications of them merging.  But phrases such as; "These are just beautiful storms here, especially Humberto which the radar shows to be a perfect Hurricane." and "Doesn't this just look lovely..."  and  a few other phrases which put the importance and focus on the GREATNESS of these storms, and not how dangerous the storms are, how dangerous they will be "IF" they don't turn east and head out to the open Ocean (right over the Bermuda).  He did pull up a live stream camera of the Bahamas, but it was nothing more than normal summer rain storm here in Florida!  One can almost hear the desperation in his voice trying to make these storms into the BIG STORMS that they love to report on. 

 

 

Saturday, September 27, 2025

Humberto and Imelda

 Ok, a little premature to call it Imelda just yet, but the current Tropical Depression will be Tropical Storm Imelda real soon...while Humberto is already a Hurricane.  Let's look back a week to see how we got to where we are now...


 On Saturday the 20th of September Hurricane Gabrielle was still a Tropical Storm, and a new yellow disturbance had just come off of Africa.  Hurricane Gabriella was headed north, and then East, so it was not a concern to us.

 

The very next day (Sunday) the yellow area turned to Orange, another yellow area developed to the west of the orange disturbance, and Gabrielle was now a Hurricane, but moving north with a forecast of moving North-East.


 The very next day (Monday), the Orange turned to Red, and the Yellow turned to Orange.  Now this has my attention...

Fast forward to today, we have lost Gabrielle, which died off in the cold waters of the Atlantic.  Humberto, which was a Tropical Storm yesterday, is now a Hurricane.  The other disturbance is now Tropical Depression Nine, soon to be Tropical Storm Imelda, and soon after that, Hurricane Imelda.  Now, let's see just where these two storms are headed...
 

 

Humberto is forecast to head North-West, turn, and head up into the Atlantic where it will die in a few days.  The only land mass which will be highly impacted is Bermuda.

 

The future Imelda is more problematic.  Anytime I see a Hurricane's forecast to head straight for land, and then abruptly take a right hand turn...that is definitely one to watch.  If that turn does not take place, South and North Carolina are in for a direct hit.  As it goes along the coast of Florida, it is going to cause flooding, rip-tides, and probably a few tornadoes.  Good news for now, no developments in the Gulf, the Caribbean, and nothing more off Africa.  Imelda id going to be the major concern for now...not for us in the Tampa Area, but for the East Coast and many of the Islands along its path.